Truth About Sharp Money...

The term “sharp money” is bandied about on twitter all the time, especially during football season. We hear industry types (myself included) using the term casually when breaking down line movement leading to confusion among new wagering enthusiasts.  Sharp money isn’t only important for bookmakers to do their job but acknowledging it’s existence in the market is an invaluable tool for bettors fine-tuning  handicapping thought processes looking to maximize return on investment. Balanced books are an industry myth. In an ideal world oddsmakers create pointspreads that drive perfectly balanced action with infinite volume simply collecting the juice for profit. This model works perfectly in a vacuum but in the real world bookmakers rely on their sharper customers to help shape, steer, and guide markets to the appropriate number for maximizing profit. Last weekend provided a perfect example of a game where bookmakers stood their ground on a game that did anything but attract equal 2 way action. Betonline said the handle on the Patriots vs Colts game was the largest of the entire season, creating massive liabilities for the house with 1 sided Patriots action. Recreational bettors bought into the narrative that New England would do everything in their power to make a statement (who could blame them given what we’d seen from the Patriots this season) while professionals stuck to their guns looking to take the points every time the number ticked through 8. Most shops here in Vegas reported 85% of tickets (or higher) being printed on the road favorite Patriots placing the house in a precarious position. Now, I know what you’re thinking: “If the professionals are betting the dog, shouldn’t  larger bets balance out the sheer volume of wagers from the public meaning the house actually needs to root for...

Inside the Lines – Toronto Sep24

Inside the Lines – Toronto...

http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/todd-on-itl-sept-241.mp3 The boys and I discussed all the biggest line moves and story lines worth following for NFL Week 3. Only an hour before games kickoff the information flies at you fast and...

NFL Week 3 Sep22

NFL Week 3

BetOnline.Ag Bonus Codes: 75BTB first time deposit (75% Bonus); 50BTB for reloads (50% Bonus) Week 3 of the NFL season kicks off tonight from sunny San Francisco, so the boys are back to break down the card from a betting perspective!  They dive deep into Thursday Night Football as the Rams take a short trip to the 49ers (44:27); two first-time head coaches challenged with a compressed week – which handles the short preparation better? Todd Fuhrman and Payne Insider don’t stop there, they tackle all the big Week 3 NFL games: – Baltimore vs. Jacksonville in London (5:37) – New Orleans @ Carolina (10:22) – Atlanta @ Detroit (14:10) – New York Giants @ Philadelphia (17:57) – Seattle @ Tennessee (23:30) – Kansas City @ Los Angeles Chargers (28:54) – Oakland @ Washington (32:02) Dave Mason of BetOnline.AG stops by (36:36) to talk about the public crushing them with the New England Patriots once again last week.  Mason’s nice enough to peel back the curtain and let us know what NFL sides and totals are attracting Sharp and Square money for Week...

CFB Week 4 Sep21

CFB Week 4

BetOnline.Ag Bonus Codes: 75BTB first time deposit (75% Bonus); 50BTB for reloads (50% Bonus) Week 4 of the College Football betting season is upon us and the boys from Bet the Board break down all the big games with a helping hand from The Sports Animal himself, Mark Rodgers (11:30)! We start with North Carolina State @ FSU (20:50); can James Blackman lead the Seminoles to the promise land?  We transition to Mississippi State @ Georgia (26:21); will the Bulldogs from Starkvegas have a let down off the domination of LSU?  Then we talk Florida @ Kentucky (30:17); can the Wildcats make history and end this 30-game losing streak to the Gators?  We deep take a dive on Notre Dame @ Michigan State (35:25); would you rather be battle-tested or off a bye with the better coach?  TCU @ Oklahoma State (41:11); can this game be competitive with the Horned Frogs lack of a pass rush and their propensity to give up the explosive play?  Michigan @ Purdue (47:10); they say numbers paint a picture – and this spread tells us a lot.  Fuhrman and Payne also gloss over a number of other marquee matchups like San Diego State, Alabama, and UCLA. As always, Dave Mason stops by (1:00:52) to talk about how last week went for his book BetOnline.AG, plus he lets us know where the money is coming in on the largest CFB games of the week from the public and professional...

3HL – Nashville Sep21

3HL – Nashville...

http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/09-20-17.mp3 Who will be the first SEC coach fired?  How’s the landscape of the SEC going to be impacted by the biggest games in Week 4?  The boys and I broke it all down including quick snapshots of the biggest NFL games as...

Inside the Lines – Toronto Sep20

Inside the Lines – Toronto...

http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/todd-on-inside-the-lines-sept-17.mp3 All the biggest games on the NFL card broken down from a gambling perspective.  Up to the minute discussion of the line moves you need to know for informed...

3HL – Nashville Sep20

3HL – Nashville...

http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/09-13-17.mp3 All the sports betting banter you could want and plenty you don’t with the charismatic crew in...

NFL Week 2 MNF Sep18

NFL Week 2 MNF

BetOnline.Ag Bonus Codes: 75BTB first time deposit (75% Bonus); 50BTB for reloads (50% Bonus) The Monday Night Football podcast is LIVE and in time for you to listen during your lunch break!  The Detroit Lions travel to New York to take on Eli Manning and the Giants game – and the big question; Will Odell Beckham Jr. play? Before the boys break down MNF and deliver a best bet, they talk about the teams that impressed and disappointed most on Sunday.  In addition to that, they jump ahead to Week 3 opening lines and discuss how they’ve moved from the look-ahead numbers Vegas sent out a week ago. A small journey into the best summer movies Fuhrman and Payne saw with reviews of Dunkirk and Baby Driver, but all-in-all this was a short, to the point show, with only one thing on their mind … MONDAY NIGHT...

CFB Week 3 Sep14

CFB Week 3

BetOnline.Ag Bonus Codes: 75BTB first time deposit (75% Bonus); 50BTB for reloads (50% Bonus) Not even Hurricane Irma could derail the College Football Week 3 podcast!  No guest this week, the boys are flying solo to deliver the information you need before investing a single dollar on this weeks big games. Speaking of Week 3‘s big CFB games, we start with a deep dive of UCLA-Memphis (8:57), transition to Tennessee-Florida, (16:52), move to Texas-USC (20:38), and conclude with the nightcap Clemson-Louisville (26:11). Fuhrman and Payne also touch on a few secondary games, starting with Kansas State-Vanderbilt (32:57), LSU-Mississippi State (35:59), and finish up with Stanford-San Diego State (39:27). Dave Mason joins (42:52) to tell us how BetOnline.AG did with last weeks games, plus he lets us know who the public and professionals are betting their greenbacks on this...

WJOX – Birmingham Sep13

WJOX – Birmingham...

http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/9-13-Todd-Fuhrman-PODCAST.mp3 Every Wednesday with the round table we cover all the most compelling betting angles in both pro and college football. Where do we see the early week value? You’ll have to listen to find...

Inside the Lines – Toronto Sep10

Inside the Lines – Toronto...

http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/todds-hit-sept.-10-inside-the-lines1.mp3 We head north of the border for our Sunday NFL tradition to talk line moves, betting angles, and best bets with a bit of fun thrown into the mix along the...

CFB Week 2 Sep06

CFB Week 2

BetOnline.Ag Bonus Codes: 75BTB first time deposit (75% Bonus); 50BTB for reloads (50% Bonus) Week 2 of the College Football season is upon us and the boys from Bet the Board break down all the big games with a helping hand from Fox Sports Broadcaster Joel Klatt (10:57). We start with Stanford/USC (35:30) and then we navigate our way to the other big games on the board in Oklahoma/Ohio State (39:15), Auburn/Clemson (43:21), and Georgia/Notre Dame (46:30). Our guy Dave Mason of BetOnline.AG stops by (57:43) to talk about the largest CFB games of the week; where are the sharps and squares wagering their hard-earned money? Still time to to sign up for the best NFL contest this season with Bet the Board’s $5K Pick-Five Football Free Roll!  Huge end-of-season haul for the winner and top finishers, plus great weekly prizes all 17 weeks of the regular season ABSOLUTELY FREE – you can’t afford not to join! If you missed our NFL Week 1 podcast you can listen...