EPL Preview Apr25

EPL Preview

FA Cup matches over the weekend forced some of the league’s biggest clubs into mid week fixtures.  Table topping implications on the line especially in a Manchester Derby where both City and United are vying for a UCL birth.  James Kempton shares his thoughts on the complete slate. Chelsea v Southampton Chelsea -1.25 and 2.75 goals The blueprint is out on how to stop Chelsea, nullify Hazard and Pedro and the job is done. Well that’s easier said than done as only certain teams have the personnel to do such a number on them. Southampton may have just the players capable of doing that. I will take a piece of the away team to at least stay within striking distance on what could be a nervous evening at Stamford Bridge. Arsenal v Leicester City Arsenal -1 and 3 goals The first meeting of the sides this season finished goalless but last season Arsenal did the double over the Foxes including a last gasp 2-1 win in this fixture against just ten men. Can you really see Arsenal adapting to the threats that the Foxes pose? No, me neither but that didn’t bother them last season when Leicester won the title. They are riding the crest of that FA Cup wave and seem to have the Foxes number. Home team or pass.  Middlesbrough v Sunderland Middlesbrough -0.5 and 2.25 goals Middlesbrough won 2-1 at the Stadium of Light earlier this season but that game seems a long time ago now. Who is really going to bet this game as both teams are doomed to relegation. I have no clue or interest as to what happens in this match of the north east losers.  Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham -0.75 and 2.75 goals Under 2.5...

Everything EPL Apr21

Everything EPL

With the season winding down the chase for a championship heats up atop the table.  Chelsea’s once insurmountable lead is now 4 over a hard charging Spurs team with only a month left in the season.  Neither of those teams will be in action this weekend but that doesn’t mean there isn’t money to be made on the pitch.  James Kempton is here to steer you in the right direction Bournemouth v Middlesbrough Bournemouth -0.5 and 2.5 goals The home team will all but secure their own safety if they can take a victory away from this game. Boro showed some real fight last time out at home to Arsenal but their attacking threat is still limited to the talented but completely immobile Negredo. Under normal circumstances here I would lean to the away team but in all honesty on this line a draw is pointless as it serves zero purpose for the visitors. With Boro possibly going for broke late on if the game is a stalemate I will take the home team. Hull City v Watford Hull -0.25 and 2.5 goals Watford won 1-0 pre the Silva era last October and they’ve now amassed forty points following that 1-0 win over Swansea last Saturday. That result was a great one for Hull and remember Marco Silva has not lost any of his last forty home league games across all divisions. Give me the home win as they’ve been impressive under Silva on home soil, the manager has a track record of delivering big wins when they matter most and quite honestly Watford won’t care too much for this game.  Swansea City v Stoke City Swansea -0.25 and 2.5 goals Stoke won this fixture 1-0 last season and a similar result here would...

NBA Playoff Preview Apr14

NBA Playoff Preview

BetOnline.AG Bonus Codes: 75BTB for first timers (75% Bonus) and 35BTB for reloads (35% Bonus). NBA Playoffs are just a few-hours away, so the boys from Bet The Board provide a quick cram session to get you ready!  Can LeBron and the Cavaliers simply flip a switch on defense?  If not, is there value on the Raptors and Wizards, or are the Celtics for real? With Golden State 100% healthy are they going to blow through the Western Conference, or can Westbrook and Harden pull off an upset and show why they’re truly deserving of the MVP award? As always, Dave Mason joins to give us a glimpse behind the counter sharing where the pro and joe money is.  He also talks future liability with one specific team, but doesn’t sound like Mason’s all too worried.  The NBA Podcast takes a hard left turn when Fuhrman bullies NHL Playoffs talk into conversation (insert Payneinsider eye roll here), but it just may pay dividends if you listen all the way to the...

EPL Game Notes Apr14

EPL Game Notes

As the season continues to wind down the opportunities to make some money in the EPL only get ramped up.  James Kempton is here to give you everything you need to know for all the weekend’s biggest fixtures Tottenham Hotspur v Bournemouth Tottenham -1.75 and 3.25 goals It was goalless earlier this season when the sides met but in the last campaign Spurs won this game 3-0 and Harry Kane netted a hat trick on the south coast in a 5-1 victory. I know Bournemouth are a vibrant side but this goal line suggests a lot of faith in them breaching a home defence who’ve allowed just eight goals at White Hart Lane all season. A lean to the under.  Crystal Palace v Leicester City Crystal Palace -0.5 and 2.5 goals Leicester won 3-1 earlier this season and achieved two 1-0 victories last season when the sides met. The previous season both games were won to nil by Palace 0-1 and 2-0 and you have to think that now Leicester have reverted to type that this game should be a low scoring affair. Palace are rolling after that great win against Arsenal where they played off the back foot but they may find it harder to take the game to the Foxes.  Beware of the Champions League hangover for Leicester but it’s unders for me.   Everton v Burnley Everton -1.25 and 2.5 goals Burnley won 2-1 at Turf Moor in October but they’ve not managed to score in either of their two previous EPL trips to this famous old ground. Everton are on a strong run at home and Burnley are sitting very comfortably out of the relegation dogfight. Sean Dyche may talk the talk about his side looking to fight hard in...

Weekend Round-Up Apr08

Weekend Round-Up

Fixture congestion to the max! From mid-week matches to a comprehensive weekend slate James Kempton is here to get you in a positive state of mind for all things Premier League. Tottenham Hotspur v Watford Tottenham -1.75 and 3 goals Spurs have won three straight meetings in EPL action but last season it was just a 1-0 win on this ground for them. Without Harry Kane in the line up their link play is not as efficient so I’d not want to be trusting on giving up too much on the handicap line. I can’t go against Spurs after that midweek comeback against Swansea but it’s a steep line for them to cover. Although Watford performed well in midweek they’re not to be trusted on the road! Manchester City v Hull City Man City -2 and 3.25 goals Hull grabbed a 1-1 draw on this ground in February 2015 but that’s the only meeting of the sides in the last five that Man City have not won by at least two goals. Marco Silva has greatly impressed me this season and I do not see his well organised Hull side getting destroyed in this fixture. A tentative lean to the away side as they will scrap for every ball and against this dodgy home defence who’d say that the Tigers won’t find a way to score.  If they do covering a -2 line becomes tricky even if they play well.  Middlesbrough v Burnley Middlesbrough -0.25 and 2 goals Burnley ground out a 1-0 win when the sides met on Boxing Day and they had that much needed midweek win over Stoke. For the Clarets this is basically a ‘do not lose game’. Boro have to win to try and drag Burnley back into the...

Mid-Week Report Apr04

Mid-Week Report

The only thing better than a weekend slate of EPL action? That’s easy…it’s mid week fixtures highlighted by two table toppers.  To make sense of the madness is our EPL guru James Kempton with game capsules on every single match. Burnley v Stoke City PK and 2.25 goals For the first two thirds of their weekend game with Spurs the home side matched their high flying counterparts. They will have regrouped ahead of this critical game against Stoke as they look to avoid being sucked into the relegation battle. Home win or pass for me Leicester City v Sunderland Leicester -1 and 2.5 goals It was a Leicester performance from last season that the Foxes blew Stoke away on home soil. The fight almost looks gone out of this Sunderland side as they sit more than two full wins away from safety. The line is steep though set at -1 so I will be staying away even though I believe Leicester will all but clinch safety in this one.  Watford v West Bromwich Albion PK and 2.25 goals Watford are a funny side and we all know about the strengths of this Baggies outfit. I sense the value here is with the home win as West Brom are now well and truly thinking of the summer break. It’s easy for their squad to get up for big games at venues such as Old Trafford but this is a different test and off this line they offer no value.  Manchester United v Everton Man Utd -1 and 2.5 goals It’s a brave man given current form who lays a full goal for this United side against any team in the top half of the table. Everton should be able to stay in this game long...

MLB Season Preview Mar31

MLB Season Preview

BetOnline.AG Bonus Codes: 75BTB for first timers (75% Bonus) and 35BTB for reloads (35% Bonus). Opening Day is a few short hours away and the boys from Bet The Board drop their 2017 MLB Season Preview with an assist from baseball almanac Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports.  Win totals, World Series Odds, and Division Future Bets aplenty as Todd Fuhrman and Payneinsider make their Major League Baseball maiden voyage. Dave Mason from BetOnline.AG gives a look behind the curtain into what the most public world series and win total bets are, as well as, where the professional bettors have plunked down their cash heading into baseball season....

EPL Game Capsules Mar30

EPL Game Capsules

Domestic league action returns after a brief hiatus for the international break.  James Kempton gives you everything you need to know before walking to the window with an EPL wager (or two) this coming weekend Liverpool v Everton Liverpool -0.75 and 2.75 goals Everton has not won any of the last thirteen meetings of the sides and have not won at Anfield since 27 September 1999. The loss of the inspirational Seamus Coleman from the Toffees backline just tips the balance of this game to the home side for me. It’s not a big enough factor though to make me back the home team as I worry that Lukaku could always net against this fragile looking Pool defense Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham -1 and 2.5 goals It was 2-1 to Spurs when the sides met for the first time this season and here they are priced up a full goal favourite going to one of the toughest venues in the EPL. This is a major pricing error as without Harry Kane the away side should be at most a -0.75 favourite. Following an international weekend and without Kane back the home dog.  Chelsea v Crystal Palace Chelsea -1.5 and 2.75 goals Chelsea won 1-0 at Selhurst Park last December but it was the Eagles who won this game 2-1 a season ago at Stamford Bridge. The seven EPL meetings of the sides since December 2013 may have seen five Chelsea victories but only one of those came via a margin of greater than one goal. Games after international breaks can be strange affairs and with Man City on deck in midweek Chelsea may just look to manage their way through this game. Small value on the away team.  Hull City v West Ham...

Final Four Mar29

Final Four

BetOnline.AG Bonus Codes: 75BTB for first timers (75% Bonus) and 35BTB for reloads (35% Bonus). March Madness is coming to a close with the Final Four set to tip Saturday evening in Arizona.  Bet The Board has all the basketball betting angles covered to help you close out a profitable NCAA Tournament. We go a different route this week and bring on Geoff Freeman from the American Gaming Association to talk about how much is bet on the College Basketball tournament both legally and illegally, plus we dive into the Raiders relocation to Las Vegas. One again, Todd Fuhrman and Payneinsider turn to the man behind the sports betting counter, Dave Mason to gauge how the Sweet Sixteen went for sports books, future bets liability, and where the public and professionals are laying down their greenbacks on the Final...

Sweet 16 Mar22

Sweet 16

BetOnline.ag Bonus Codes: 75BTB for first timers (75% Bonus) and 35BTB for reloads (35% Bonus). The NCAA Basketball Tournament picture is clearer now than it was this time a week ago as the Sweet 16 tips off Thursday evening.  The boys from Bet The Board cover all bracket and betting angles with help from CBS Sports basketball guru Gary Parrish. Todd Fuhrman and Payneinsider then turn to the man behind the sports betting counter, Dave Mason from BetOnline.AG to gauge how last week went for sports books, and where the public and professionals are wagering their hard earned dollars on the Sweet Sixteen.  X’s and O’s, efficiency metrics, game theory, and information will help win your office pool and a few extra bucks in Vegas this...

EPL Round Up Mar17

EPL Round Up

There’s not a weekend that goes by where our EPL Insider fails to bring the goods.  James Kempton provides his complete game capsules for a busy weekend in the Premier the week before teams break camp for international duty. West Bromwich Albion v Arsenal Arsenal -0.75 and 2.75 goals Arsenal have not won any of their last seven trips to the Hawthornes by more than one goal. Under 2.5 goals is on a 7-3 run when these sides meet in all competitions with just one of those games seeing more than three goals. Having seen Arsenal in person myself last weekend I have to say no Premiership side should fear them, unless Sanchez is on the ball! Its worrying though for potential Baggies backers that they’ve lost 2-0 and 3-0 in their last two games. One to miss for me. Crystal Palace v Watford Crystal Palace -0.5 and 2.25 goals It was 1-1 when the sides met earlier in the season and Yes on Both Teams To Score is 5-2 since August 2011. These are two teams that I just cannot trust and in these seemingly tense relegation type battles you’re usually attracted to the under on the goals line even if it is set at 2.25 goals. Watford have kept just one clean sheet though since the end of October and that was against Middlesbrough! They’ve scored ten goals themselves in their last six EPL outings so with the line set at 2.25 I’m almost tempted to take a piece of the over.  Everton v Hull City Everton -1 and 2.5 goals Marco Silva has Hull playing a far better game from a tactical perspective since he took over the role as Head Coach and they are 3-2-3 in their last eight EPL outings....

This Week in Radio Mar16

This Week in Radio

Loaded @outkick this morning. Trying to make you money on NCAA tourney with @GottliebShow & @ToddFuhrman: https://t.co/poR3uXDEk2 — Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) March 13, 2017 We gave bettors everything they needed to know for a busy weekend of betting games. Even shared our early thoughts on which numbers could be on the move before the professionals tipped their hand http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/3-15-Todd-Fuhrman-PODCAST.mp3 March Madness conversation with the guys from WJOX…money movers, best bets, and things to watch in the big dance’s opening weekend (Recorded 3/15) http://www.toddstake.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/03-15-17.mp3 There’s no better time to talk sports betting with the guys from 3HL in Nashville than the month of March.  From ridiculous stories to the best betting weekends in Vegas we covered all the biggest storylines (Recorded...