Written by James Kempton (follow him on twitter @ukbettingpro) Fulham v Tottenham Considering that only two of the last seven meetings between these sides has cashed the over 2.5 goal ticket, my choice here may strike you as a bit odd. However, both teams always look fragile against mobile passing teams as their midfield players do not appear capable of protecting their defence to enable them to keep a clean sheet. Spurs have won the last five meetings and are unbeaten in the last seven games. This season Fulham has scored in every home game they have played and Tottenham’s found the back of the net in each of their away games. Both sides play tight and intricate passing games which should help create chances galore at Crave Cottage. With Dimitar Berbatov (Fulham) and Clint Dempsey (Tottenham) keen to get on the scoresheet against their former clubs, this game should produce excitement at both ends of the field. Man City v Everton Everton has won five of the last six meetings of the two sides and before last seasons defeat in Mancheste,r they had won four straight games on the road at the Etihad Stadium. All seven of Everton’s away games this season have seen at least two goals scored whilst five of seven games at City have gone over the 2.5 goal line. Everton are particularly strong at set pieces, corners and free kicks, so I take them to get on the scoresheet for sure. The strength of City at home over the past few seasons tells you that it will be a tough game as Manchester has been a fortress for the defending champions. We all know about the attacking prowess of City but in Fellaini and Jelavic the blues from Merseyside...
OTL Podcast Championship Style...
posted by Todd
Where has the time gone this college football season? Championship week is upon us and Adam Kramer, Bud Elliot, Drew Collins, and myself break down all the big games and provide our betting perspective. There’s a good chance rambling will take place but I promise the information quality makes it all worthwhile. If the widget below doesn’t pop up, blame your internet platform but we’ll help you out anyways so...
Navigating the Hardwoods...
posted by Todd
Written by Mike Quinn (follow him on twitter @BroadStCappers) Action has tipped on the college hardwood yet again and as you navigate the first few weeks of non-conference games and early season tournaments, keep in mind that the conference schedule that starts in January will be here sooner than you think. The conference schedule is where big money can be made on the strength of situations. Let’s fast break through some of the scenarios that you should keep an eye out for come January. Multiple Road Games In A Row The difficult part of college basketball compared to college football is that the teams are playing multiple games a week. This leaves little rest and preparation time. Those conundrums are magnified when a school is forced away from home for upwards of a week straight at points. There is value to be had when fading these teams against a somewhat rested home opponent. The travel aspect of these situations can be tricky and one of the best ways to find out what the team’s travel plans are is to review the team’s website or a local beat reporter’s write-up. That type of information can be invaluable in situational analysis. Another angle to explore here is the first home game back after a long road-trip. If facing a sub-par opponent sandwiched between the road trip and a more talented foe, it is likely that between trying to get back to normal at home and looking ahead to a big game later in the week, that team will stumble a bit. That presents a great ATS situation for bettors to capitalize on periodically. Look Ahead to Big TV Games Another positive for bettors due to the condensed scheduling of college basketball is the old look ahead...
Value in the Reds
posted by Todd
Written by James Kempton (follow him on twitter @ukbettingpro) My pre season EPL column suggested that only two clubs are capable of winning this seasons EPL crown; Manchester City and Manchester United. Twelve matches into the campaign, just under a third of the total games to be played, those two teams sit aloft at the top of the table. The troubling thing for any team wanting to challenge is that both teams have showed weaknesses. Despite the obvious flaws within both sets of players so far, no other side has managed to keep pace with them. I advised at the beginning of the season that backing both sides blindly should provide a minimum of a 12.5% profit if you were prepared to tie your funds up for nine months. That calculation was with a futures price of Manchester City +125 and Manchester United +325. So, where are we now price wise and what should bettors do at present whether they hold a futures ticket or are yet to enter this market. Existing ticket holders may opt to do nothing but new entrants to this particular market may see some short term value with what I detail below. The period between late November and New Years Day is always a hectic time for professional footballers. In the 38 days between 25th November and 1st January both teams play ten games in a period that will define their seasons. I have listed below those fixtures against each other as the schedule for both teams throws up some potential short term value. Manchester City Manchester United A Chelsea H QPR A Wigan H West Ham H Everton A Reading A Dortmund (UCL) H Cluj UCL H Man Utd A Man City A Newcastle H Sunderland H...
OTL Podcast – Holiday Action...
posted by Todd
There’s no better way to spend your holiday than firing wrecklessly at college football games. At least after this podcast, you’ll have a few informed opinions from the experts Adam Kramer, Bud Elliot, and Collins Drew. As for me, well there’s a reason they keep me on the podcast and I’m pretty sure it’s only so they have someone to laugh at after a rough weekend. Problem with the Widget? Not my fault…blame Talk Shoe but click here...
EPL Weekend 3 Ball
posted by Todd
Written by James Kempton (follow him on twitter @Ukbettingpro) Here we go again for another action packed EPL weekend and this week I’ve had an unfamiliar problem. This season has seen the markets more accurately priced than ever and betting opportunities have been relatively limited. However, this week there appears to be too many opportunities for us to try and take advantage of the possibilities. Our betting banks are not an unlimited pot of cash though so I have waded through the card and highlighted my best three bets for the weekend. Newcastle v Swansea Newcastle has found it hard to repeat their amazing performance of last season early in the campaign. Whether it is the expectancy to build on their previous successes of or their midweek excursions throughout Europe, they have not fired on all cylinders. They host a Swansea side who maintains a mid table position but have struggled since the opening three weeks. Following a points haul of seven from their first three games, Swansea has only picked up 6 points in their last 8 matches. This meeting ended with clean sheets both ways at Newcastle last year and the Geordies winning the away match in Wales 2-0. An under 2.5 ticket has cashed in 3 of 6 games at Newcastle so far this season whilst Swansea’s last 4 away games have hit under 2.5 goals. Swansea should dominate the time of possession and limit the explosiveness of the Newcastle forward line. Back under 2.5 & 3 goals Norwich v Manchester United This should be an excellent game at Carrow Road which boasts one of the best playing surfaces in the EPL. United stumbled a bit last time out as Aston Villa led 2-0 just after the half time interval. It’s never...
November 14 with 3HL the Zone – Nashville...
posted by Todd
Click here to listen SEC football talk and a story about booking futures you won’t hear everyday
EPL Trend Game
posted by Todd
By James Kempton (follow him on twitter @UKBettingpro) When I was a more inexperienced bettor I dismissed trend analysis as a pointless research exercise. Who cares that in 2007 Aston Villa drew away to Manchester United; I mean how is that relevant in 2012? Maybe it was the countless bad beats or maybe it was myself trudging around nightclubs at 1:55am looking for a willing playmate that brought me to this conclusion; Sports teams, just like human beings, trend towards repeating past failures and successes. We are only ten games into the new EPL season but already noticeable trends are emerging. I feel we have a big enough sample size, just over a quarter of the way through the season, to begin to firm up our opinions on teams. Styles of play are firmly ingrained into the teams fabrics so the attacking teams who produce goals should have offense a plenty in their games to come. Those teams that make defending a priority over attacking flare should continue to partake in boring defensive struggles. Traditionally the goal line for EPL games is set at the 2.5 mark. The odds tended to be lower for the overs bet to be landed but there were minimal lines where the prospect of a push came into play as rarely was the line set at 3 goals. As the game has become more offensive, this line has ticked upwards with many lines now set at a flat three goals. Rather than fear the push, as bettors we should look to use this concept as our friend. This season in the EPL the third goal in the game is often just the start of the action! Below are listed some early season goal trends that I sense will continue, at least into the...
Todd’s Take Week 11...
posted by Todd
Remember when we talked about parity meaning dogs would continue? Yea that just about died last weekend at the expense of sportsbooks. College basketball is here and I have one rule that I live by when it comes to betting...