The Tiger Effect Jul16

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The Tiger Effect

Golf is better with Tiger Woods.  Hard core golf fans may not agree with the impact of the polarizing superstar but the numbers simply don’t lie.  Earlier this morning I took a few minutes to pick the brain of seasoned golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman (if you’re not already following, encourage you to do so now) about how important Tiger’s involvement in the majors is to the health of his betting markets.

Historically the British Open doesn’t attract nearly the same betting attention as the US Open but given Tiger’s return this weekend, Sherman said that wasn’t the case.  He went on to tell me what most of us probably speculated: Tiger has been the most heavily bet golfer of any in the field for this weekend’s tournament at Royal Liverpool Golf Club.  Sherman moved him as high as 25-1 to win the tournament before taking 2 large bets that forced the price back down to 15-1.  While 15-1 doesn’t sound like a large number it becomes a bigger deal when compared to the travesty that is 3-1 currently offered by one Las Vegas based casino.  At 25-1 that was actually the highest price available on Tiger to win a major that Sherman had used in a long long time.  Of course Tiger winning this weekend wouldn’t be good for the house when it comes to liability but at the same time numbers don’t lie…Tiger just being involved not only helps the tv ratings but also drives healthier betting handle.

All odds courtesy of the LVH

ODDS TO WIN:
RORY McILROY                  12/1
ADAM SCOTT                    12/1
TIGER WOODS                   15/1
MARTIN KAYMER                 20/1
HENRIK STENSON                15/1
PHIL MICKELSON                25/1
JASON DAY                     30/1
JUSTIN ROSE                   12/1
JORDAN SPIETH                 30/1
SERGIO GARCIA                 20/1
LEE WESTWOOD                  40/1
MATT KUCHAR                   30/1
DUSTIN JOHNSON                30/1
BUBBA WATSON                  50/1
RICKIE FOWLER                 30/1
BRANDT SNEDEKER               50/1
GRAEME McDOWELL               25/1
LUKE DONALD                   50/1
IAN POULTER                   50/1
JASON DUFNER                  60/1
CHARL SCHWARTZEL              60/1
LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN              60/1
HIDEKI MATSUYAMA              60/1
ERNIE ELS                     80/1
ZACH JOHNSON                  50/1
JIM FURYK                     50/1
PAUL CASEY                    60/1
THOMAS BJORN                  50/1
KEEEGAN BRADLEY               80/1
HUNTER MAHAN                  80/1
JIMMY WALKER                  80/1
WEBB SIMPSON                  80/1
STEVE STRICKER                  WD
FRANCESCO MOLINARI            60/1
VICTOR DUBUISSON             100/1
JAMIE DONALDSON               80/1
GRAHAM DeLAET                150/1
MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENEZ          80/1
PADRAIG HARRINGTON           150/1
JONAS BLIXT                  125/1
BILL HAAS                    125/1
GARY WOODLAND                125/1
HARRIS ENGLISH               100/1
RYAN MOORE                   100/1
JOHN SENDEN                  150/1
PATRICK REED                 125/1
MATTEO MANASSERO             100/1
ANGEL CABRERA                 50/1
NICOLAS COLSAERTS              DNQ
BROOKS KOEPKA                200/1
BRENDON DE JONGE             200/1
MARTIN LAIRD                   DNQ
STEPHEN GALLACHER             80/1
JOOST LUITEN                 125/1
ROSS FISHER                  200/1
THORBJORN OLESEN             150/1
FREDDIE JACOBSON             150/1
PETER HANSON                   DNQ
BILLY HORSCHEL               125/1
KEVIN NA                     150/1
CHRIS KIRK                   200/1
BRANDEN GRACE                200/1
GEORGE COETZEE               250/1
NICK WATNEY                  200/1
BERND WIESBERGER             200/1
MARC LEISHMAN                150/1
MATT JONES                   250/1
CHRIS WOOD                   125/1
PETER UIHLEIN                500/1
SHANE LOWRY                  100/1
MIKKO ILONEN                  80/1
RICHARD STERNE               400/1
K.J. CHOI                    150/1
RETIEF GOOSEN                  DNQ
PAUL LAWRIE                  250/1
GEOFF OGILVY                   DNQ
GONZALO FERNANDEZ-CASTANO    250/1
RUSSELL HENLEY               300/1
STEWART CINK                 250/1
THONGCHAI JAIDEE             125/1
TOMMY FLEETWOOD              250/1
RYAN PALMER                  200/1
MATT EVERY                   250/1
KEVIN STREELMAN              250/1
DARREN CLARKE                300/1
GREGORY BOURDY               300/1
BOO WEEKLEY                  300/1
BRETT RUMFORD                500/1
KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT         500/1
JUSTIN LEONARD               400/1
ROBERTO CASTRO               500/1
D.A. POINTS                  500/1
BEN CURTIS                   300/1
DAVID DUVAL                 1000/1
JOHN DALY                   1000/1
Y.E. YANG                    500/1
JIN JEONG                   1000/1
TOM LEHMAN                      WD
TOM WATSON                   500/1
FIELD (all others)            15/1
 
*GOLFER MUST START TOURNAMENT FOR ACTION*
 
 
TOURNAMENT MATCHUPS:
JUSTIN ROSE                  -120
RORY McILROY                 EVEN
 
ADAM SCOTT                   -120
HENRIK STENSON               EVEN
 
SERGIO GARCIA                -120
GRAEME McDOWELL              EVEN
 
TIGER WOODS                  +145
PHIL MICKELSON               -165
 
JASON DAY                    -130
RICKIE FOWLER                +110
 
MATT KUCHAR                  -120
JORDAN SPIETH                EVEN
 
DUSTIN JOHNSON               -135
BUBBA WATSON                 +115
 
LUKE DONALD                  -125
ZACH JOHNSON                 +105
 
PAUL CASEY                   EVEN
THOMAS BJORN                 -120
 
JASON DUFNER                 -110
HUNTER MAHAN                 -110
 
KEEGAN BRADLEY               -120
WEBB SIMPSON                 EVEN
 
JAMIE DONALDSON              -120
STEPHEN GALLACHER            EVEN
 
MIKKO ILONEN                 -110
ROBERT KARLSSON              -110
 
SHANE LOWRY                  -120
MATTEO MANASSERO             EVEN
 
GARY WOODLAND                +110
BILL HAAS                    -130
 
 
JUSTIN ROSE                  EVEN
ADAM SCOTT                   -120
 
RORY McILROY                 +110
ADAM SCOTT                   -130
 
HENRIK STENSON               -150
MARTIN KAYMER                +130
 
ADAM SCOTT                   -170
MARTIN KAYMER                +150
 
HENRIK STENSON               -210
TIGER WOODS                  +180
 
MARTIN KAYMER                +105
SERGIO GARCIA                -125
 
MARTIN KAYMER                -110
GRAEME McDOWELL              -110
 
SERGIO GARCIA                -140
JORDAN SPIETH                +120
 
GRAEME McDOWELL              -115
JORDAN SPIETH                -105
 
DUSTIN JOHNSON               -135
JASON DAY                    +115
 
DUSTIN JOHNSON               -110
LUKE DONALD                  -110
 
JASON DAY                    -110
LUKE DONALD                  -110
 
JORDAN SPIETH                -150
LEE WESTWOOD                 +130
 
JASON DAY                    -145
LEE WESTWOOD                 +125
 
RICKIE FOWLER                +130
MATT KUCHAR                  -150
 
MATT KUCHAR                  -170
PAUL CASEY                   +150
 
BUBBA WATSON                 -140
LEE WESTWOOD                 +120
 
BUBBA WATSON                 EVEN
JIM FURYK                    -120
 
BRANDT SNEDEKER              +120
JIM FURYK                    -140
 
ANGEL CABRERA                -130
LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN             +110
 
HIDEKI MATSUYAMA             -120
CHARL SCHWARTZEL             EVEN
 
JAMIE DONALDSON              -110
WEBB SIMPSON                 -110
 
KEEGAN BRADLEY               -150
JASON DUFNER                 +130
 
MIKKO ILONEN                 +115
HUNTER MAHAN                 -135
 
ERNIE ELS                    +120
KEEGAN BRADLEY               -140
 
ROBERT KARLSSON              EVEN
FRANCESCO MOLINARI           -120
 
JIMMY WALKER                 -140
JASON DUFNER                 +120
 
MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENEZ         -120
DANNY WILLETT                EVEN
 
JONAS BLIXT                  +145
JOOST LUITEN                 -165
 
STEPHEN GALLACHER            -115
RYAN MOORE                   -105
 
RYAN MOORE                   -130
THONGCHAI JAIDEE             +110
 
VICTOR DUBUISSON             +110
THONGCHAI JAIDEE             -130
 
MATTEO MANASSERO             -115
PATRICK REED                 -105
 
SHANE LOWRY                  -120
BRENDON TODD                 EVEN
 
HARRIS ENGLISH               -105
RAFAEL CABRERA BELLO         -115
 
KEVIN NA                     -125
CHRIS WOOD                   +105
 
PABLO LARRAZABAL             -175
BRANDEN GRACE                +155
 
MICHAEL HOEY                 +120
BILLY HORSCHEL               -140
 
THORBJORN OLESEN             +150
BERND WIESBERGER             -170
 
STEWART CINK                 -145
NICK WATNEY                  +125
 
PETER UIHLEIN                +180
CAMERON TRINGALE             -210
 
KEVIN STADLER                -120
KEVIN STREELMAN              EVEN
 
RUSSELL HENLEY               -155
CHESSON HADLEY               +135
 
HYUNG-SUNG KIM               -170
HYUNG-TAE KIM                +150

PROPOSITIONS:
 
Par = 72
 
WINNING SCORE:
(*72 holes must be completed for action)
OVER       275.5  -110
UNDER      275.5  -110
 
WILL THERE BE A HOLE IN ONE?
(*72 holes must be completed for action)
YES        -110
NO         -110
 
WILL THERE BE A PLAYOFF?
(*72 holes must be completed for action)
YES        +275
NO         -335
 
LOWEST COMPLETED ROUND SHOT BY ANY GOLFER:
(*Full round of 18 holes; 72 holes must be completed for action)
OVER        65.0  -110
UNDER       65.0  -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  TIGER WOODS
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       39.5   -110
UNDER      39.5   -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  RORY McILROY
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       24.5   -110
UNDER      24.5   -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  ADAM SCOTT
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       20.5  -110
UNDER      20.5  -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  MARTIN KAYMER
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       29.5  -110
UNDER      29.5  -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  HENRIK STENSON
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       22.5  -110
UNDER      22.5  -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  JUSTIN ROSE
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       20.5  -120
UNDER      20.5  EVEN
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  SERGIO GARCIA
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       26.5  -110
UNDER      26.5  -110
 
FINISH POSITION BY:  PHIL MICKELSON
(*Must tee off for action; Includes ties; If golfer withdraws, is disqualified, or misses the cut, ‘over’ is the winner)
OVER       32.5  -110
UNDER      32.5  -110

WILL TIGER WOODS MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -220
NO         +190
 
WILL JASON DAY MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -260
NO         +220
 
WILL GRAEME McDOWELL MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -300
NO         +250
 
WILL LEE WESTWOOD MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -220
NO         +190
 
WILL JORDAN SPIETH MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -270
NO         +230
 
WILL RICKIE FOWLER MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -250
NO         +210
 
WILL LUKE DONALD MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -260
NO         +220
 
WILL BUBBA WATSON MAKE THE CUT?
(*Must tee off for action; cut decided after 36 holes)
YES        -240
NO         +200