Odds to win 2017 Title Apr05

Odds to win 2017 Title...

Villanova is still basking in the glory of their historic victory last evening.  However oddsmakers have already hung prices on teams to win the 2017 Mens College basketball Championship.  Here are the opening lines courtesy of the Westgate Superbook 2016-17 MENS NCAA BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM — GLENDALE, AZ MONDAY, APRIL 3, 2017  DUKE 9-2 KENTUCKY 6 VILLANOVA 8 LOUISVILLE 10 KANSAS 10 MICHIGAN ST 12 NORTH CAROLINA 15 INDIANA 20 VIRGINIA 20 XAVIER 20 OREGON 20 ARIZONA 20 WISCONSIN 30 WEST VIRGINIA 30 MARYLAND 40 PURDUE 40 U CONN 40 IOWA ST 50 MIAMI FL 50 SETON HALL 50 TEXAS 60 GONZAGA 80 SYRACUSE 80 UCLA 80 TEXAS A&M 80 BAYLOR 80 OKLAHOMA 80 UTAH 80 BUTLER 100 IOWA 100 MICHIGAN 100 WICHITA ST 100 FLORIDA  100 ARIZONA ST 100 MISSISSIPPI ST 100 SMU 100 CINCINNATI 100 VCU 200 NOTRE DAME 200 FLORIDA ST 200 CREIGHTON 200 GEORGETOWN 200 OHIO ST 200 COLORADO 200 USC 200 DAYTON 200 SAN DIEGO ST 200 SOUTH CAROLINA 200 ST MARY’S  200 VANDY 200 TENNESSEE 200 HARVARD 200 CALIFORNIA 200 AUBURN 300 OREGON ST 300 BYU 300 RHODE ISLAND 300 CLEMSON 300 PITTSBURGH 300 PROVIDENCE 300 TEXAS TECH 300 ILLINOIS 300 UNLV 300 NC STATE 300 NORTHWESTERN 300 NEBRASKA 300 COLORADO ST 300 LSU 300 OLE MISS 300 GEORGIA 300 ARKANSAS 300 ALABAMA 300 VIRGINIA TECH 300 GEORGIA TECH 300 WAKE FOREST 300 MINNESOTA 300 FRESNO ST 300 MEMPHIS 300 MARQUETTE 300 KANSAS ST 300 OKLAHOMA ST 300 PRINCETON 300 BOISE ST 300 HOUSTON 300 TULSA 300 DAVIDSON 300 OAKLAND 500 WASHINGTON 500 TEMPLE 500 ST BONNY’S 500 DEPAUL 500 ST JOHN’S  500 PENN ST 500 NEW MEXICO 500 MISSOURI 500 STANFORD 500 VALPO 1000 GEO WASH 1000 RICHMOND 1000 ST JOE’S 1000 U MASS 1000 RUTGERS 1000...

Act like a veteran

The NCAA tournament is a time to celebrate college sports…wagering. Opening weekend is a two day unofficial holiday where work productivity bottoms out with employees from coast to coast streaming games, checking scores, and monitoring their bracket standings as each game goes final. For a select few, making a pilgrimage to the gambling epicenter is a rite of passage that needs to be on everyone’s bucket list. Here are 5 things to make you look like a betting professional even if it happens to be your maiden voyage when heading to the sportsbook. Know your betting index number Bettors accustomed to playing online or with a local bookie may not know what this terminology means. The betting index number is a three (or four digit) code attached to each team on the big board. Each three betting index number remains the same no matter if you’re looking to place your bets at a MGM, Cantor Technology, or a William Hill sportsbook. Halftime numbers can vary depending on the establishment but they’ll almost always be listed as a four digit number making it easy to tell the difference between full game prices. These individual codes are what you’ll see to the left of every team on LED boards and sportsbook sheets and become the only pieces of relevant information you need when walking to the window. Knowing the team name doesn’t help a ticket writer; it’s these identifying codes that insure the accuracy of your ticket on every wager.  Don’t be that guy looking at the board trying to find these numbers when your at the teller window. Check your ticket If I had a dollar every time some drunk idiot came up to me after a game was over while I worked behind the...

Tourney Props Mar24

Tourney Props

…and then there were 16 teams left dancing into the 2nd weekend of the big dance.  Already we’re seeing some interesting betting trends beginning to emerge for the Sweet 16 highlighted by 2 huge public favorites both going in the late time slot Friday Night (Michigan St & Duke).  Don’t believe me? Here’s early thoughts from Kevin Bradley of Bovada on the Duke game “Not much has changed after the first weekend of the Madness with Kentucky leading the way at even money to win it all and haveingtaken four times more money than the next team. Duke seems to be the trendy pick right now behind the play of Jahlil Okafor who we have dropped from 14/1 to 10/1 to win tournament MOP. Looking at the Sweet 16 games there is that common trend with Duke taking over 90% of the action right now -5 over Utah and I expect that to be our biggest decision of the round.” -Kevin Bradley, Sports Book Manager, bovada.lv Bradley highlights what most of us in the industry have always known to be true come March; it’s not what you’ve done all season but rather what you’ve done lately that steer public betting trends.  Along with the customary betting markets Bovada has a handful of other props available to the casual bettor looking to get a quick fix. Odds to win Tournament MOP  Willie Cauley-Stein (Kentucky)                            4/1 Karl-Anthony Towns (Kentucky)                          7/1 Trey Lyles (Kentucky)                                        15/2 Aaron Harrison (Kentucky)                                 10/1 Jahlil Okafor (Duke)                                           10/1 Andrew Harrison (Kentucky)                               12/1 Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin)                              12/1 Brandon Ashley (Arizona)                                   16/1 Stanley Johnson (Arizona)                                 16/1 T.J. McConnell (Arizona)                                    16/1 Kyle Wiltjer (Gonzaga)                                       16/1 Sam Dekker (Wisconsin)                                    20/1 Justise...

Cutting Down the Nets Mar16

Cutting Down the Nets...

Here’s the full and complete updated list of college basketball futures prices from the Westgate Superbook and William Hill.  Throughout the week we’ll have odds to win the regionals, props, and any other relevant numbers from around Vegas pertaining to the big dance. ***Note the Westgate Superbook offers a field bet for team’s not listed, William Hill has odds on each individual school if you’re looking for a longshot not included on the comparison chart. Westgate Will Hill Kentucky 11-10 11-10 Wisconsin 7 8 Duke 7 10 Villanova 8 10 Arizona 8 8 Virginia 10 10 Gonzaga 18 20 North Carolina 25 40 Kansas 40 25 Baylor 60 40 Iowa St 40 40 Notre Dame 50 25 Oklahoma 75 40 Michigan St 75 100 Utah 75 60 SMU 75 100 Maryland 60 50 Wichita St 75 100 Louisville 60 60 WVU 100 100 Texas 100 500 N. Iowa 100 75 Butler 200 100 Arkansas 200 100 Xavier 200 150 VCU 200 150 LSU 300 300 Georgetown 200 60 UCLA 300 500 Cincinnati 300 300 Indiana 300 500 Oregon 300 250 Oklahoma St 300 300 Ole Miss 300 500 NC State 300 250 Providence 300 150 Georgia 300 500 San Diego St 300 250 St John’s 300 300 Iowa 300 200 Purdue 300 300 BYU 300 500 Boise St 500 500 Dayton 500 500 SF Austin 1000 500 Davidson 1000 250 Valpo 2000 1000 EWU 2000 1000 Field 200...

Must see Musburger Mar03

Must see Musburger

Last night Brent Musberger took his love of gambling to another stratopshere.  Given the circus that took place at Hilton from a betting perspective we can’t really fault him for going the extra mile not once, not twice, but 3 times with references to the pointspread in the final minute.  Fran Fraschila even got into the act which took this epic minute of television to the next level. Special thanks to Rob Perez (follow him on twitter @World_Wide_Wob) for putting these vines...

5-20-5 Rule

Seeking value is what we’re always after as sports bettors.  There’s a reason the professionals don’t care about the names on the front or back of jerseys and look to bet purely on what their numbers tell them.  Isolating the right time to bet on, pass, or bet against certain teams is critical to long term success because oddsmakers can’t always quantify situational analysis in a betting number.  I was taught a college basketball betting rule when I first started in this business and really believe it will always withstand the test of time. 5-20-5 Assuming a 30 game sample size for an average college basketball team; teams will play 5 games above their head (bet on), hold true to their actual power rating for 20 (pass those games), and below their capabilities for 5 (bet against).  If you recognize these scheduling quirks when they present themselves throughout the season you give yourself a great opportunity to optimize value and gain an edge on the bookmaker’s numbers that may not incorporate valuable handicapping intangibles.  There may only be a few short weeks left in the college basketball season but with so many teams vying for conference titles, conf tourney byes, and bolstered resumes for the committee use every angle possible to identify that hidden edge....

College Hoops Futures Dec10

College Hoops Futures...

We haven’t seen a team as dominant as Kentucky in mens basketball in quite some time.  Big Blue’s depth is reflected in futures odds posted by the Westgate Superbook given UK is just better than an even money proposition to cut down the nets.  With one team leaps and bounds above the rest of the field, value is otherwise created on a bevy of other talented teams.  The sides in bold are schools I think could be worth an investment…just hope they avoid Kentucky’s bracket when the field is announced a few months from now. 2014-15 MENS NCAA BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT LUCAS OIL STADIUM — INDIANAPOLIS, IN MONDAY, APRIL 6, 2015 ARIZONA 7 DUKE 7 FLORIDA 30 KANSAS 30 KENTUCKY 6-5 WISCONSIN 8 NORTH CAROLINA 30 WICHITA ST 30 VILLANOVA 25 LOUISVILLE 18 SMU 100 VIRGINIA 18 IOWA ST 40 MICHIGAN 60 MICHIGAN ST 60 SYRACUSE 75 VCU 100 GONZAGA 15 OHIO ST 75 OKLAHOMA 60 SAN DIEGO ST 60 TEXAS 40 UCLA 100 IOWA  200 NEBRASKA 200 OREGON 300 BAYLOR 300 U CONN 75 ARIZONA ST 300 ARKANSAS 75 CINCINNATI 300 COLORADO 300 DAYTON 300 FLORIDA ST 500 GEORGETOWN 200 GEORGIA 500 INDIANA 500 KANSAS ST 500 LSU 500 MARQUETTE 1000 MARYLAND 300 MEMPHIS 500 MIAMI FL 75 MINNESOTA 500 MISSOURI 1000 OKLAHOMA ST 300 OLE MISS 300 PITTSBURGH 200 PROVIDENCE 300 SETON HALL 300 ST LOUIS 2000 STANFORD 300 TENNESSEE 500 UNLV 500 UTAH 60 UTEP 1000 ALABAMA 500 GEORGIA TECH 500 ILLINOIS 100 NEW MEXICO 1000 NOTRE DAME 200 SOUTH CAROLINA 500 ST JOE’S 2000 ST JOHN’S 200 U MASS 300 USC 1000 VANDERBILT 500 WEST VIRGINIA 200 XAVIER 300 BYU 300 CALIFORNIA 300 CLEMSON 1000 COLORADO ST 500 CREIGHTON 500 DEPAUL 2000 GEORGE WASHINGTON 300 HARVARD 300 LASALLE 1000 LOUISIANA TECH...

Hoops Props Nov12

Hoops Props

Bovada decided to get in the spirit of college basketball season which has crept up on us faster than I ever remember. Betting futures, single games, or totals not enough? here’s a comprehensive list of player props being made available at their shop Odds to win 2014-2015 Associated Press Player of the Year     Jahlil Okafor (Duke)                               5/1 Stanley Johnson (Arizona)                     6/1 Montrezl Harrell (Louisville)                     7/1 Cliff Alexander (Kansas)                        8/1 Myles Turner (Texas)                              10/1 Karl Towns (Kentucky)                           10/1 Tyus Jones (Duke)                                12/1 Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin)                  12/1 Sam Dekker (Wisconsin)                        12/1 Caris LeVert (Michigan)                          14/1 Kelly Oubre (Kansas)                             16/1 Marcus Paige (North Carolina)                16/1 Georges Niang (Iowa State)                   30/1 Juwan Staten (West Virginia)                  30/1 Ron Baker (Wichita State)                      30/1 Fred VanVleet (Wichita State)                 40/1 Justise Winslow (Duke)                          40/1 Perry Ellis (Kansas)                               40/1 Joe Young (Oregon)                              40/1 Willie Cauley-Stein (Kentucky)                40/1 Olivier Hanlan (Boston College)              40/1 Chris Walker (Florida)                            40/1 Rasheed Sulaimon (Duke)                      50/1 Tyler Haws (BYU)                                  50/1 Jerian Grant (Notre Dame)                      50/1 Brandon Ashley (Arizona)                       50/1 Malcolm Brogdon (Virgina)                    50/1 Marcus Foster (Kansas State)                50/1 Ryan Boatright (UConn)                         50/1 Aaron Harrison (Kentucky)                     75/1 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (Arizona)          75/1 Kevin Pangos (Gonzaga)                       75/1 Michael Frazier (Florida)                         75/1 Treveon Graham (VCU)                          75/1 Branden Dawson (Michigan State)       75/1 Rodney Purvis (UConn)                         75/1 JayVaughn Pinkston (Villanova)             75/1 Chasson Randle (Stanford)                    75/1 Player Stats (By Conference and By Alphabetical Order by First Name)   ACC Players Jahlil Okafor – Average Points Per Game in the 2014-2015 season        Over/Under                               16½   Jahlil Okafor – Average Rebounds Per Game in the 2014-2015 season  Over/Under                               8½   Jahlil Okafor – Average Blocks Per Game in the 2014-2015 season       Over/Under                               1½   Jerian Grant – Average Points Per Game in the 2014-2015 season         Over/Under                               18 (-   Jerian Grant – Average Assists Per Game in...

How Sweet it Is… Mar27

How Sweet it Is…...

no, I’m not referring to the fail proof roulette strategy employed by Ms Charissa Thompson during her visit to Las Vegas.  Instead we dissected the round of 16 to identify a few money making opportunities.  Given how my performance went through the first 2 rounds there’s always a chance that #FadeFuhrman will be trending at any time.  Either way, enjoy  ...

Prop Culture: Sweet 16 Mar26

Prop Culture: Sweet 16...

We’d only be kidding ourselves if we equated prop handle for the NCAA tournament to the Superbowl.  Despite it’s lack of appeal to the masses, books haven’t ignored the revenue potential that exists.  Here’s a small sampling of available props both here in town at the LVH and offshore at Bovada. Via LVH UCLA VS FLORIDA TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 14.0 -110 UNDER 14.0 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: KYLE ANDERSON (UCLA) OVER 13.5 -110 UNDER 13.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: SCOTTIE WILBEKIN (FLORIDA) OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 DAYTON VS STANFORD TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 11.5 -110 UNDER 11.5 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 13.0 -110 UNDER 13.0 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: DEVIN OLIVER (DAYTON) OVER 10.5 -110 UNDER 10.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: CHASSON RANDLE (STANFORD) OVER 17.5 -110 UNDER 17.5 -110 BAYLOR VS WISCONSIN TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 14.0 -110 UNDER 14.0 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 13.5 -110 UNDER 13.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: BRADY HESLIP (BAYLOR) OVER 11.5 -110 UNDER 11.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: FRANK KAMINSKY (WIS) OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 SAN DIEGO ST VS ARIZONA TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 9.5 -110 UNDER 9.5 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 15.0 -110 UNDER 15.0 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: XAVIER THAMES (SAN DIEGO ST) OVER 16.5 -110 UNDER 16.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: AARON GORDON (ARIZONA) OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 U CONN VS IOWA ST TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH...

Friday Best Bets Mar21

Friday Best Bets

Tourney Props Mar18

Tourney Props

PROPS PROPS PROPS! All courtesy of the LVH Superbook Keep up with all the line moves in real time 2014 NCAA  TOURNAMENT COLLEGE BASKETBALL PROPS **Following Props include the Games from Tuesday, March 18 and Wednesday, March 19. TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  AAC TEAMS (Cincinnati, U Conn, Louisville, Memphis,) (This prop closes Thursday, March 20th at 11:10 am Pacific time) Over       5.5  -110 Under      5.5  -110 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  ACC TEAMS (Duke, North Carolina, NC State, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Virginia) (This prop closes Tuesday, March 18th at 6:10 pm Pacific time) Over       9.5  +105 Under      9.5  -125 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  ATLANTIC 10 TEAMS (Dayton, George Washington, U Mass, St Louis, St Joe’s, VCU) (This prop closes Thursday, March 20th at 9:15 am Pacific time) Over       4.0  +150 Under      4.0  -170 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  BIG EAST TEAMS (Creighton, Providence, Villanova, Xavier) (This prop closes Tuesday, March 18th at 6:10 pm Pacific time) Over       5.5  EVEN Under      5.5  -120 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  BIG 10 TEAMS (Iowa, Michigan, Michigan St, Nebraska, Ohio St, Wisconsin) (This prop closes Wednesday, March 19th at 6:10 pm Pacific time) Over      10.5  +130 Under     10.5  -150 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  BIG 12 TEAMS (Baylor, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Texas) (This prop closes Thursday, March 20th at 4:25 pm Pacific time) Over       8.0  -120 Under      8.0  EVEN TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  MOUNTAIN WEST TEAMS (New Mexico, San Diego St) (This prop closes Thursday, March 20th at 6:55 pm Pacific time) Over       2.5  +115 Under      2.5  -135 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  PACIFIC 12 TEAMS (Arizona, Arizona St, Colorado, Oregon, Stanford, UCLA) (This prop closes Thursday, March 20th at 10:40 am Pacific time) Over       7.5  +115 Under      7.5  -135 TOURNAMENT WINS BY:  SEC TEAMS (Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee) (This prop closes Wednesday, March 19th at 6:10 pm...