Bowl Pod Dec28

Bowl Pod

Todd Fuhrman and Payneinsider break down the Biggest Bowl Games of the Season and the College Football Playoffs.  Which schools have the motivation?  What teams are just going through the motions?  How will coaching hirings and firings effect this Bowl Season? The Boys are joined by Outkick The Coverage and Fox Sports Radio host Clay Travis.  Deep Dives into Alabama vs Washington and Ohio State vs Clemson, as well as all the New Years 6 contests.  Can Jake Browning regain his early season form, or will his arm deficiencies show up again versus elite competition?  Will Urban Meyer with extended prep continue to out-coach his opponents, or will Clemson bring its A-game now that it’s winner takes all?  Fiesta Bowl, Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl, Cotton Bowl, Outback Bowl, Peach Bowl and the soon to be Las Vegas Bowl presented by BetTheBoardPodcast.com all broken down from a Sports Betting perspective. We also touch on some of the bigger games leading up to New Years; bottom line, if you’re Gambling on Bowl Games this episode of Bet The Board is must listen!...

Buy or Sell: Big Ten Aug24

Buy or Sell: Big Ten

If you read the previews, believe the experts, and check the odds it appears the Big Ten is a two horse race. Ohio State and Michigan, at least in the mind of most, have distanced themselves from the rest of the league especially in the East. While I won’t dispute their rightful status as front runners it doesn’t always mean title dreams equate to point spread dominance. Missed the other conferences? Find them here ACC, SEC, Pac 12 Undervalued: Michigan State 2015: 12-2 SU, 5-9 ATS Michigan State struggled early in the 2015 season; at least when it came to Vegas expectations starting the year a wallet breaking 0-6 ATS. There were such high expectations for a team led by experienced pivot Connor Cook the market over valued their potential to cover big numbers (remember this for later) The exact opposite is true of the Spartans headed into 2016. Tyler O’Connor was anointed as Cook’s successor just a day ago.  He’ll enter the season having attempted just 24 passes a season ago but was responsible for leading Sparty to an outright upset of Ohio State as a double digit dog. There’s plenty of experience at running back with three guys toting the rock 100+ times last year. However there’s a major void at the WR position and the coaching staff knows they’ll need a gamebreaker to emerge before conference play. The offensive line requires some seasoning without their C and LT however three starters give coach Dantonio enough of a bed rock to build around early. You don’t just replace three NFL draft choices on the defensive line by waving a magic wand. Malik McDowell, projected starting nose tackle, grades out to All American caliber status and should become the next great defensive lineman...

Buy or Sell: Pac 12 Aug23

Buy or Sell: Pac 12

I don’t remember a year where the Pac 12 felt so wide open going into the season. Conference stalwarts USC and Stanford have  grueling schedules while consistent QB play is a major question mark for nearly every team in the league. When a league is ripe for the picking there should be ample opportunity for bettors to profit in the late night Saturday specials. Betting football this fall? Check out these great promotions from BetOnline Undervalued: Arizona State 2015: 6-7 SU, 6-7 ATS Todd Graham hates expectations almost as much as he hates staying put in a coaching gig. Picked by many to contend for conference supremacy last season, ASU fell flat on it’s face behind erratic quarterback play and a porous secondary. This year the Sun Devils are the forgotten squad in the Pac12 South, pegged to finish as an afterthought behind both Southern California powers. The major question for Arizona State is how quickly new offensive coordinator Chip Lindsey develops a quarterback.  There’s a lot of talk about ASU utilizing a two QB system early in the season until a front runner emerges. Current options for the role have thrown exactly ZERO passes at the FBS level. Regardless of who wins the job, running backs Demario Richard and Kalen Bellage will be the bell cows running behind an offensive line that could surprise Defensively there’s only one way to go and it’s up from the 338 yards passing ASU surrendered on a per game basis last year.  Despite a rash of injuries throughout fall camp, the unit has some playmakers but will need continuity at the back end before the early season show down with Texas Tech. Don’t get me wrong, there are plenty of question marks at every level of the...

Buy or Sell: SEC Aug17

Buy or Sell: SEC

There’s been so much talk in SEC country about Tennessee finally coming of age. The pressure is real in Knoxville for a program seeking a return to glory with 17 starters coming back. When the whole world knows how talented a team is supposed to be on paper, there’s limited betting value. I toyed with putting them as my sell team within the league however I’m drinking the Kool-Aid as well…at least for now. In the west division supremacy appears to be a two horse race between LSU and Alabama (fancy that!). Fortunately for us picking a champion isn’t job number one; it’s identifying teams that aren’t being priced properly by the oddsmakers. Undervalued: Florida Last Year: 10-4 SU, 8-5-1 ATS There’s been so much talk about Tennessee and Georgia as clear cut favorites in the SEC East the Gators have become an afterthought. A tough three game losing skid to close the year doused the optimism Coach McElwain created in his first season.  Florida might be flying under the radar now but they’re still defending division champs until proven otherwise. Defense is the constant for Florida and the unit appears built for more success in 2016.  Unfortunately you don’t easily replace a talent like Vernon Hargreaves in the secondary but Jalen Tabor and Marcus Maye are exceptional players capable of putting their stamp on the defensive backfield. Today’s suspension of Tabor for the season opener against UMASS is problematic yet I’ll operate under the assumption this is an isolated incident.  Geoff Collins’ job won’t be easy; needing to replace key contributors on the defensive line although returning eight players in that group should alleviate some concern. Losing Antonio Morrison’s 103 tackles could be felt by a thin linebacking core meaning senior Jerrad Davis...

Buy or Sell: ACC Aug16

Buy or Sell: ACC

The ACC kicks off a 5 part CFB series highlighting some of the undervalued and overvalued sides in college football’s power conferences. Winning bets isn’t a beauty pageant and for those that are familiar with the grind the process often leads to unusual places. Undervalued: Boston College Last Year: 3-9 SU, 4-7-1 ATS Steve Addazio’s team had the best defense in the country last year that the casual fan knew nothing about. BC’s inability to move the ball forward through the air or on the ground in league play kept a stop unit surrendering just 15.3 PPG constantly behind the eight ball. The Eagles return 15 starters and add Kentucky graduate transfer Patrick Towles to their QB competition. BC showed modest promise moving the ball against lesser competition early in the year before Darius Wade was lost for the season against Florida State. There’s a ton of depth at the running back position allowing an experienced offensive line to pave the way for clock control. There’s plenty of experience in the trenches but some of the young talent needs to embrace a leadership role. Defensively there could be an adjustment with defensive coordinator Don Brown’s departure to join Jim Harbaugh’s staff at Michigan. Each of the last two years running against the Eagles was akin to going through a brick considering they’ve surrendered 83 and 94 yards in back to back seasons. Justin Simmons’ presence in the secondary will be sorely missed although the return of eight starters gives bettors plenty to be excited about in Chestnut Hill. Defensive dogs are always my bread and butter; BC fits the mold. If the offense can be serviceable providing adequate rest for an often taxed stop unit the pieces are there for a pointspread darling. The...

Bowl Bonanza Dec28

Bowl Bonanza

Bowl season is a special time of year so PayneInsider and I went outside our normal comfort zone to breakdown a few of college football’s biggest games.  We decided that wouldn’t be enough either so we called in a special guest to offer his perspective on the best investments.  Settle in, grab yourself a warm beverage and let our hand picked trio get you to the window Listen to the podcast here every week or subscribe on SOUND CLOUD and ITUNES Still looking for an offshore option? BetOnline has special offers just for our listeners...

Bowl Trends Dec22

Bowl Trends

No bet should be predicated on trends, it’s like trying to offer a literary critique by just reading the Cliffs Notes.  However, it’s always fun to look at some of the irregularities and quirks that take place over an expanded sample size.  Thanks to the folks at OddsShark here are some notes on this Boca Raton Bowl: Temple (10-3) vs Toledo (9-2) – Temple is 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six games against Toledo. Toledo is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games. Toledo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games after winning the previous game in a matchup. Temple is 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games. Temple is 4-0 SU in its last four games after losing the previous game in a matchup. The total has gone under in 10 of Temple’s last 14 games against the Mid-American.   Poinsettia Bowl: Boise State (8-4) vs Northern Illinois (8-5) – The favorite is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in the last six Poinsettia Bowls. The total has gone under in six of Northern Illinois’ last eight Bowl games. Boise State is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in last six Bowl games. Northern Illinois is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games after a loss. The total has gone under in Northern Illinois’s last three games. The total has gone under in five of Boise State’s last seven games against the Mid-American.   Sun Bowl: Miami (8-4) vs Washington State (8-4) – The total has gone over in five of the last six Sun Bowls. The underdog has covered in five of the last six Sun Bowls. Washington State is 0-3 SU in its last three Bowl games. Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four Bowl games....

Vegas Top 10 Dec05

Vegas Top 10

We’ve waited over three months to identify the four best teams in college football. Hopefully on the final Saturday of the regular season we’ll be given that clarity we’ve sought since April. Nevertheless when the committee unveiled their field on Tuesday night the playoff outlook became clear cut for Alabama, Clemson, Michigan State, and Iowa: win and you’re in. For North Carolina, Ohio State, Stanford, and the loser of the Big Ten championship waiting will indeed be the hardest part. Teams may have to wait but oddsmakers sit idle for no one and as things stand right now there’s no true consensus among them regarding the best four teams in the country. William Hill Bookmaker Westgate Cantor Todd #1 Clemson Alabama Alabama Alabama Oklahoma (t-1) #2 Iowa Oklahoma Oklahoma Clemson Alabama (t-1) #3 Oklahoma Clemson Ohio St Oklahoma Ohio St #4 Alabama Michigan St Clemson North Carolina Clemson #5 North Carolina Ohio St Baylor (t-5) Iowa Stanford (t-5) #6 Michigan St Iowa Ole Miss (t-5) Ohio St Ole Miss (t-5) #7 Notre Dame Stanford Stanford Michigan St Baylor #8 Stanford North Carolina Notre Dame Notre Dame Oregon (t-8) #9 Florida St Notre Dame Oregon Stanford Florida St (t-8) #10 Baylor Ole Miss Florida St (t-10) Oregon Notre Dame (t-8) Michigan St (t-10) Michigan (t-10) TCU (t-10) Tennessee (t-10)   Alabama, Oklahoma, and Clemson appear to be three of the top four teams oddsmakers agree on yet that’s where consensus stops. Whose next in the pecking order? is it Iowa, Michigan St/Ohio St out of the Big Ten or should we be considering Stanford and North Carolina very much in the mix? Fortunately for Hawkeye and Spartan fans the task at hand this weekend is simple; win. For those donning Scarlet and Grey, Tarheel Blue,...

Vegas Top 10 Nov27

Vegas Top 10

Another week of college football madness and teams are on the move in the eyes of the committee for no rhyme or reason. Oklahoma allegedly controls a game where they slip by TCU (without Boykin) by a single point despite entering as 17 point chalk…interesting. Iowa moves up the rankings while being outgained by the mighty Purdue Boilermakers, fascinating. Then there’s Notre Dame that manhandled Boston College everywhere on the stat sheet but since the final score indicated a tightly contested football game Fighting Irish stock took a solid hit. Thankfully in this crazy mixed up world we have the answer key to all of the college football community’s most pressing questions; our Vegas Top 10. William Hill Stations Westgate Cantor Bookmaker MGM Todd Clemson Clemson Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Oklahoma (t-2) Clemson Clemson Clemson Clemson Notre Dame Oklahoma Clemson (t-2) Oklahoma Oklahoma Stanford Oklahoma Oklahoma Iowa Ohio St Notre Dame Michigan St Baylor Baylor (t-4) Michigan St Notre Dame Baylor (t-5) North Carolina Notre Dame Oklahoma Ohio St (t-4) Iowa Michigan St Stanford (t-5) Iowa Iowa Notre Dame Stanford Baylor Baylor Oregon (t-7) Baylor Baylor Michigan St Notre Dame North Carolina Oklahoma St Ole Miss (t-7) Ohio St Ohio St Florida Ole Miss Michigan Ohio St Michigan (t-8) Michigan St North Carolina Michigan Michigan Stanford Michigan Notre Dame (t-8) Florida Stanford Oklahoma St Oregon After Ohio State’s ugly loss to Michigan St on Saturday, Alabama and Clemson are now share top billing among the oddsmakers in our poll. The only other team receiving votes for the second spot aside from the aforementioned Tide and Tigers is the Oklahoma Sooners via the Westgate Superbook. Once we get beyond the top three lines of the various polls the overall power profile gets...

Oddsmaker on the Committee...

Every Tuesday in November we’re privy to the most hotly contested debate in college sports (no, not what Mizzou administrator will get canned today); what 4 teams are deserving of inclusion in the college football playoff? Thankfully most unveilings are dress rehearsals meant to incite riots among fan bases while giving journalists plenty of fodder for their columns. The main takeaway for me every single week is how does the committee really grade the “best” teams in the land: is it win/loss record? Is it quality wins? Is it game control? Is it style points? Unfortunately the answer is YES to all of the above yet we’re devoid of a truly reliable quantitative element factored into the equation like the BCS required. In order to create an equal playing field there needs to be that math guy balancing out the process among college football blue bloods and athletic directors. Who better than an oddsmaker to share his or her take on proper valuations of the best teams in the land. To better gauge sentiment among the college football community I turned to some of the most influential football writers and oddsmakers to get their thoughts on the idea. “There is NO doubt in my mind that an oddsmaker would be a great addition to the College Football Playoff Committee, I’ve been saying that for several years. There is a bias in college football, especially with a committee whose average age is 57 after decades of being exposed to the bigger “brands” and older “styles” of football,” Peter Burns, SEC Network anchor, said. The list of current committee members reads the following: Jeff Long – Vice Chancellor and Athletic Director University of Arkansas Barray Alvarez – Director of Athletics Wisconsin (Former head football coach) Mike...

CFB Futures Sep23

CFB Futures

College football national title futures are on the move… After our first reshuffling of top 10 teams during week 3, the numbers on the big board look a lot different than they did back in August.  There’s still plenty of value out there in the market, especially with 1 loss teams still very much in the conversation.  Without one truly dominant team (Ohio St can be if they get it together)  the other 3 slots are entirely up for grabs providing opportunistic future bettors a chance to lock in a good price or two. 24-Aug 21-Sep Courtesy of Westgate Superbook Ohio St 5-2 7-4 TCU 5 6 Michigan St 18 8 Baylor 15 10 Ole Miss 40 10 LSU 20 12 Georgia 30 12 Alabama 6 20 Clemson 20 20 UCLA 30 20 Texas A&M 100 20 USC 15 25 Notre Dame 18 25 Florida St 30 25 Oklahoma 30 30 Oregon 30 40 Oklahoma St 100 50 Stanford 40 60 Auburn 15 80 Florida 100 100 Tennessee 60 100 Georgia Tech 100 200 Miami FL 200 200 West Virginia 300 200 Utah 300 200 California 500 200 Arizona St 200 300 Wisconsin 100 300 Missouri 200 300 Kansas St 100 300 Arizona 200 300 Iowa 500 300 Michigan 100 500 Boise St 200 500 Field 100 500 Miss St 100 1000 Virginia Tech 100 1000 South Carolina 300 1000 Washington 500 1000 BYU 500 1000 Penn St 300 1000 NC State 500 1000 Kentucky 500 1000 Minnesota 500 2000 Arkansas 40 5000 Texas 200 5000 Nebraska 100 5000 North Carolina 500 5000 Oregon St 500 5000 Louisville 300...

Season Preview Sep05

Season Preview

We’re baaaaaack!!!  Bet the Board returns for it’s second season and we’d like to thank everyone for making year 1 a tremendous success.  After intense contract negotiations with professional sports bettor Payneinsider we were able to keep the dream team together. We’re also happy to announce we’ve landed a major sponsor in Bet Online and they’re looking to offer our listeners a great deal to jump start the season.  As always feel free to use the hashtag #BetTheBoard during the week to ask any questions you may have regarding the weekly...