EPL Round Up Mar17

EPL Round Up

There’s not a weekend that goes by where our EPL Insider fails to bring the goods.  James Kempton provides his complete game capsules for a busy weekend in the Premier the week before teams break camp for international duty. West Bromwich Albion v Arsenal Arsenal -0.75 and 2.75 goals Arsenal have not won any of their last seven trips to the Hawthornes by more than one goal. Under 2.5 goals is on a 7-3 run when these sides meet in all competitions with just one of those games seeing more than three goals. Having seen Arsenal in person myself last weekend I have to say no Premiership side should fear them, unless Sanchez is on the ball! Its worrying though for potential Baggies backers that they’ve lost 2-0 and 3-0 in their last two games. One to miss for me. Crystal Palace v Watford Crystal Palace -0.5 and 2.25 goals It was 1-1 when the sides met earlier in the season and Yes on Both Teams To Score is 5-2 since August 2011. These are two teams that I just cannot trust and in these seemingly tense relegation type battles you’re usually attracted to the under on the goals line even if it is set at 2.25 goals. Watford have kept just one clean sheet though since the end of October and that was against Middlesbrough! They’ve scored ten goals themselves in their last six EPL outings so with the line set at 2.25 I’m almost tempted to take a piece of the over.  Everton v Hull City Everton -1 and 2.5 goals Marco Silva has Hull playing a far better game from a tactical perspective since he took over the role as Head Coach and they are 3-2-3 in their last eight EPL outings....

EPL Weekend Round-Up Mar10

EPL Weekend Round-Up

It’s a Friday tradition around here during the EPL season and our insider provides all the nuggets to make you better informed.  Also, forgive Mr Kempton if he gets a little giddy talking about his local side trying to do the unthinkable and progressive further in the FA Cup.  Take his preview on THAT match with a grain of salt! Bournemouth v West Ham United PK and 2.75 goals Bournemouth have been struggling of late but last weekend’s tetchy 1-1 draw at Old Trafford could be a turning point for Eddie Howe’s men. Bournemouth haven’t kept many clean sheets of late whilst West Ham have only failed to score against Leicester, Man City, and Man Utd over their last seventeen EPL games. I like a bit of the over here.  Everton v West Bromwich Albion Everton -0.75 and 2.5 goals Everton won 2-1 at the Hawthornes earlier this season but the Baggies have kept three consecutive clean sheets from their EPL trips to Goodison Park. They won this fixture 1-0 last season with the previous two trips ending goalless. That shock loss last week puts me off West Brom here even getting more than half a goal. Does mid table obscurity see them already thinking of the beach? One to pass on. Hull City v Swansea City Hull -0.25 and 2.25 goals Under 2.5 goals is 6-1 when the sides have met since December 2013 and I see another cagey game here. Hull just don’t look capable of scoring more than once in a game whilst Swansea will be keen to offer the home side no encouragement at all. The Swans have netted in seven of their last eight games and that just gives them the edge in my book for this one. Back...

EPL Weekend Round-Up Mar03

EPL Weekend Round-Up

IT’S TIME…for your weekly dose of Premier League intel from James Kempton.  As always he’s here to share his thoughts on all of the week’s biggest matches (and some not so big ones) but with one thing in mind; making you money. Manchester United v Bournemouth Manchester United -1.75 and 3 goals United won this fixture 3-1 last season and each of the three EPL meetings of the sides has seen a Yes on Both Teams To Score and overs wager cash. Those trends plus the recent decline in the fortunes of the Cherries suggest that the over 3 goals bet could offer some value. Set at United -1.75 the match market doesn’t appeal to me greatly especially given the way Bournemouth have shown they can generate chances even against the elite teams.  Leicester City v Hull City Leicester -0.5 and 2.25 goals Hull started the Leicester decline with that 2-1 win on EPL opening day this season. I’m not convinced though that this Foxes revival that started on MNF will continue but I’m not prepared to get in the way here at just -0.5 on the home win. A game to leave alone completely and if you want to here my full thoughts on the Leicester situation then listen to my weekly EPL podcast with @petenordsted where I pull no punches! Stoke City v Middlesbrough Stoke -0.5 and 2 goals It was one apiece when the sides met in August at the Riverside and Middlesbrough will look to grind out a result. It’s unlikely that Mark Hughes will pick the same old workmanlike looking side that he did for their trip to White Hart Lane last Sunday where they were pummeled. I lean to the home team but would want to see a...

EPL Weekend Round-Up Feb24

EPL Weekend Round-Up

The FA Cup never ceases to offer it’s share of Cinderella stories.  However fans of the EPL live for league play and this weekend there should be drama in some unusual spots.  To break it all down by offering his favorite betting angles is James Kempton sharing analysis as only he can. Chelsea v Swansea City Chelsea -1.75 and 3 goals Swansea are an impressive well organised outfit now under Paul Clement and they will be no pushovers in a rematch of that 2-2 draw on opening day last season. It’s hard to make a case that Swansea will take anything outright from this game but do they offer any value on the handicap line? A tentative lean to Swansea given their strong recent form but I sense the solidity of the Chelsea midfield two of Kante and Matic limits some of our slim value.  Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough Crystal Palace -0.25 and 2 goals Middlesbrough will look to keep the game tight, stay well organised, and play on the nervousness of the home crowd. Boro are eight games without a win but they’ve only conceded eight goals in their last nine EPL games. We keep saying Palace will be safe from the drop as they have Big Sam but four points and five goals in their last ten, yes ten, EPL matches suggests they are deep in the relegation mire. Boro for me plus a quarter of a goal as I just sense they will make less mistakes than their hosts.  Everton v Sunderland Everton -1.25 and 2.75 goals David Moyes’ side are a right Jekyll and Hyde bunch and here he takes a squad full of ageing Everton veterans back to Goodison Park. The home team are becoming the kind of reliable...

Match Week 25 Feb10

Match Week 25

Another week and more breathing room atop the table for Chelsea.  There won’t be drama for the EPL crown this year (barring a collapse) but there’s still plenty of money to be made each week.  James Kempton is here to give you everything you need to know for making some cash this weekend. Arsenal v Hull City Arsenal -1.5 and 3 goals The sides have met nine times since December 2013 and Hull have failed to win a game while Arsenal have won by two or more goals on six occasions. This line priced at just -1.5 seems to be a quarter of a goal too short but the home club are, yet again, in complete disarray. When the Gunners are in desperation mode they usually find a way to win games when a state of emergency has been announced at the Emirates. Unders on the goal line is the only bet I’d consider making. Manchester United v Watford Man Utd -1.75 and 3 goals Watford’s two wins in their last two outings have propelled them to the verge of safety. Those six points earned could see Watford  take their eye off of the ball in what is essentially a free roll game for them. Another one to avoid for me as it’s difficult to gauge which gear this United team will elect to play in making covering this number a real challenge. Middlesbrough v Everton Everton -0.5 and 2.25 goals Everton won 3-1 at Goodison Park back in September and the teams come into this game on opposite trajectories. Middlesbrough were very workmanlike at White Hart Lane last week but at no point appeared capable of creating a clear cut chance. Everton, when they flow, are smooth to watch making for a typical...

Match Week 24 Feb02

Match Week 24

It might be all about the big game around these parts but life across the pond doesn’t stop in the EPL.  James Kempton is here to break down every single weekend fixture including the big match in London to start things off on Saturday. Chelsea v Arsenal Chelsea -0.5 and 2.75 goals The match of the weekend is the opening game of the card and Chelsea can all but kill off Arsenal’s feint title hopes in this game. Oh wait the Gunners did that to themselves midweek with a dismal home loss against Watford. The reliability of the home side make them the only possible side to take. This flimsy Gunners mental strength is set to be put to the test but if they do perform the home team know a draw is an adequate result. I lean to the home team and they should win.  Crystal Palace v Sunderland Crystal Palace -0.75 and 2.5 goals  Sam Allardyce hosts his old side and many of the loyal traveling faithful wish Big Sam was still in charge at the Stadium of Light. I can’t understand though how Palace can be more than half a goal favourite against anybody in the EPL. David Moyes’ bid to turn Sunderland into Everton 2007 is nearly complete so backing the away team is fraught with danger. They also tend to save their best performances for home soil so backers beware! Everton v Bournemouth Everton -0.75 and 2.75 goals Everton are a side I just cannot fathom and here they meet another team I consistently struggle to read. I lean to the away team here as I wouldn’t want to lay more than half a goal on them against anybody. The goal line looks a little too high for me...

Mid Week Match Report Jan31

Mid Week Match Report...

It’s the gift that keeps on giving…mid week matches from the EPL.  While league action may not deliver the same fairytale storylines we saw over the weekend in the FA Cup, we can only hope there’s an upset brewing somewhere.  James Kempton gets you ready for the biggest matches at the top (and bottom) of the table. Arsenal v Watford Arsenal -1.75 and 3.25 goals It was a tetchy victory for Arsenal last time out as they laboured to a win over a workmanlike Burnley side. I don’t see the Hornets lying down in this game but they played on Sunday lunchtime whilst the Gunners have an extra nights rest. The stats on the extra day recovery between two and three days are stark so I would take Arsenal if betting this match. However with a big match against Chelsea on deck it’s a brave man who backs Arsenal for anything more than small stakes. Bournemouth v Crystal Palace Bournemouth -0.25 and 2.5 goals Both sides were unable to register a victory last time out as the Cherries were held in check on home soil by Watford whilst Palace lost yet again as Everton beat them 1-0 at Selhurst Park. I can’t take the home side here but the away side receiving just a quarter of a goal isn’t appealing either. I had high hopes for the ‘Allardyce’ effect at Palace but so far he seems to have bitten of more than he can chew, so to speak! A game I want to avoid. Burnley v Leicester City PK and 2.25 goals A week last Sunday saw contrasting performances from these two teams. Burnley put in a resolute and well organised showing in away performance at Arsenal and were unlucky to lose 2-1 in...

Match Week 22 Jan20

Match Week 22

The race at the top of the table might be one thing but the real action in the EPL right now is in the drop zone.  Regardless of where your favorite team sits in the table James Kempton covers their betting prospects this coming weekend. Liverpool v Swansea Liverpool -2 and 3.25 goals Liverpool have won the last five meetings of the sides at Anfield across all competitions. It is hard to put any kind of case forward for the away team here given the way they caved in on home soil against Arsenal last week. A further week of work on the training ground though with new Head Coach Clement could give them some impetus but without any new signings of any note coming into the club how can we expect them to greatly improve? Home win for me in this one but covering the two goal line may be a tall ask.  Bournemouth v Watford Bournemouth -0.5 and 2.5 goals The match ended two apiece in London earlier this season and both of last season’s EPL matches between the sides ended all square. In fact over the past three games we have had a 0-0, 1-1 and 2-2 scoreline. Anyone for 3-3 here? Grabbing the half goal on the away team would be the only play I could consider making here but I won’t be rushing to back the Hornets on the road until I see a spark from them. Crystal Palace v Everton Everton -0.25 and 2.25 goals It was one apiece at Goodison Park back at the end of September and both of last seasons’ meetings of the sides ended all square. It shows you how far the Eagles have dropped that this pretty average Everton side are favourites at Selhurst...

Match Week 21 Jan13

Match Week 21

Clash of two clubs with a rich football tradition highlight this weekend’s slate.  James Kempton shares his thoughts on everything EPL for another busy weekend of football. 10 teams most impacted by player absences during the African Cup of Nations Tottenham Hotspur v West Bromwich Albion Tottenham -1.25 and 2.75 goals The last three meetings of the sides, including this season’s game at the Hawthornes, have ended one apiece. That match continued a run of results that has seen the home team in the fixture win only one of the the last thirteen meetings between the sides since September 2010 with under 2.5 goals going 15-7 in all competitions since August 2004. West Brom have conceded more than once in a game just once in their last ten games with two 1-0 defeats away at Arsenal and Chelsea in that spell. Spurs rested many of their best players last weekend for FA Cup action but I still lean to the Baggies and under as they should be able to stay within striking distance of their hosts.  Burnley v Southampton Southampton -0.25 and 2.25 goals Southampton won 3-1 when the sides met back in October but when they last met at Turf Moor in EPL action it was Burnley who won 1-0 back in December 2014. Burnley have won five of their last six home games with the only defeat a 2-1 loss against Man City where they even managed to take the lead. Southampton are 2-3-5 on the road this season so I cannot understand the pricing of this game. It has at least adjusted from when the market opener when the Saints were -0.5 goal but money has trickled in on the home dog. Despite that move I still steel value in Burnley...

Holiday Football Jan01

Holiday Football

The clubs in the EPL get right back at it as part of their New Year’s Day holiday matches.  James Kempton lets you know where the best money making opportunities are across the EPL. Middlesbrough v Leicester City PK and 2 goals The first meeting of the sides finished two apiece back in November. Team news could be key here as how will the two coaches manage their squads with such a quick turnaround. I hate going under a goal line of two but in all honesty that’s the only bet I could consider making in this match.  Everton v Southampton Everton -0.25 and 2.25 goals Southampton won 1-0 when the sides met on the south coast back at the end of November but they travel north on short rest and on the back of that poor home defeat against West Brom. Can Everton exploit the momentum they gained from that late equaliser on Friday at Hull? I lean to the home team here as I sense the wheels may just be coming off on the south coast Saints. Manchester City v Burnley Manchester City -2.25 and 3.25 goals City came from behind to take all three points when they met a month ago at Turf Moor as the Blues won 2-1. Burnley are clearly targeting their home fixtures and they now sit nine points clear of the drop zone after that amazing weekend win over Sunderland. After this game they play in the FA Cup so this away trip could possibly gain more attention from Sean Dyche than other away games. That said the home team could unleash on the Clarets as I do not see any way in which they can repel wave after wave of City attack.  Sunderland v Liverpool Liverpool...

Match Week 19 Dec30

Match Week 19

Fixture congestion at it’s finest this weekend with the annual New Year’s tradition.  James Kempton is here to break it all down offering his best betting advice for the weekend slate. Hull City v Everton Everton -0.5 and 2.25 goals The Toffees have won just one of their four EPL trips to the KC Stadium since September 2008 and there have been at least two goals in each of those matches. In fact all nine of the teams’ meetings in all competitions since that first game in Hull have seen at least two goals scored. Hull matched Man City for an hour on Boxing Day before the class shone through and it is hard to see the home team winning this game. To back a team plus half a goal I need to think they have a shot outright. This is a Friday Night Football game that if it was played at 3pm Saturday we’d all ignore. If you need to bet I’d lean under.  Burnley v Sunderland Burnley -0.25 and 2.25 goals The Clarets continue their strong home form as last time out they beat Sunderland’s north east rivals Middlesbrough. This is another game that the home team will have a big circle around in Sean Dyche’s office. My concern though is that it comes so soon after a similar game against Middlesbrough. How many consecutive games can you circle? Jermaine Defoe is a top quality player that should not be subjected to such a game and he may be the difference in this basement battle. I like Sunderland in this spot.  Chelsea v Stoke City Chelsea -1.5 and 2.75 goals Under 2.5 goals is 10-4 since August 2010 when these sides meet and before last seasons 1-1 draw in this fixture Chelsea...

Boxing Day Dec25

Boxing Day

Our EPL Insider James Kempton gives you a little holiday present just in time for the EPL tradition on Boxing Day Arsenal v West Bromwich Albion Arsenal -1.5 and 3 goals Arsenal have won the last five meetings of the sides at The Emirates by a combined scoreline of 12-1. The Gunners have won seven of their seventeen EPL games this season by more than just one goal, that equates to 70% of their victories by more than one goal. The Baggies let us down last time out by losing 2-0 to Man Utd so it is hard to go back to the well with them again here. Arsenal choked last weekend as they had their foot on Man City’s throat and took it away whilst the Blues were still breathing. How will they react here? A watching brief for me but I sense they may struggle. Burnley v Middlesbrough Scratch and 2 goals The sides have met nine times since September 2011 in all competitions with under 2.5 goals going 7-2 and No on Both Teams To Score going 6-3. Burnley are 5-1-3 on home soil this season and they welcome a Middlesbrough side who are 1-5-2 on the road with their only win achieved at Sunderland! Give me the home team to earn all three points here. Burnley should be favoured.  Chelsea v Bournemouth Chelsea -1.75 and 3 goals This game is more about Bournemouth in terms of how they react after that 3-1 loss at home to Southampton. The Cherries are 1-2-5 away from home with that solitary win at West Brom. Bournemouth have lost by two or more goals already against Arsenal, Man City and Man Utd so far this season. Boxing Day fixtures can be strange affairs so laying...