Written by KyDerbyJay Once again the First Saturday in May is upon us, and with it, the 139th running of the Kentucky Derby — the greatest two minutes in sports.  Having correctly selected the winning horse for two consecutive years, the pressure has mounted this year EDITOR’s NOTE: he’s not kidding, readers were clamoring for his picks again In scoping out possible win candidates for the Derby, I subscribe to the theory that the most important handicapping tool is envisioning how the race will play out.  All sorts of factors play into this — pace, stamina, racing luck — but the twenty horse field (unheard of in North American racing otherwise) makes it a complicated task.  It’s no secret that the best horse doesn’t always win the race, but instead the horse with the best trip.  With that in mind, let’s move on the twenty horses that make up the 2013 field: Scratched: Black Onyx.  I gave this one little chance anyway, particularly with the inside post draw.  Stewards have decided to leave the 1-hole open, rather than move everybody one post closer inside.  A very good decision in my opinion, and one that opens up the rail. The Pretenders: Golden Soul finished a well-beaten 4th in the Louisiana Derby, and doesn’t seem to be in the same class as most of these…Giant Finish was 3rd in the Spiral Stakes in his last outing.  He’s slow, and really is nothing more than a vanity entry by his connections.  An absolute toss…Falling Sky comes out of the criminally slow Arkansas Derby, and couldn’t even finish in the money in that one.  Have heard some say to watch for him running late — I’m not buying it…Charming Kitten is the weakest of the five Todd Pletcher-trained...

Written by James Kempton (follow him on twitter @ukbettingpro) I have been warning for the last two weeks that this is the time when stakes on EPL games should be reduced.  Although form lines are clearly drawn in the sand it is hard to assess how games will pan out.  This is from both a motivational standpoint; how teams will perform under pressure, both at the top and the bottom of the table.  So be careful and keep stakes to a minimum and see below for the key thoughts to this Saturday and Sunday match ups. Fulham v Reading – Both sides have nothing to play for here bar pride.  I sense this being an open game as over 2.5 goals has been seen in 11 of 17 home games for Fulham and 10 in 17 road games for Reading.  If you want a bet on the outright market the trends point just one way as Fulham are 5-2-1 at home to sides in the bottom half of the EPL table. Norwich v Aston Villa – Villa boosted their survival bid with a 6-1 win over Sunderland last Monday Night Football so will be very confident going into this game.  However, Norwich are 4-4-0 on home soil to fellow lower half strugglers.  There has been no away win in the 3 EPL meetings between sides but all have featured at least 2 goals. Swansea v Man City – City won the meeting 1-0 in Manchester back in October but last season the Swans won this fixture 1-0.  Since their Carling Cup win the home side have appeared more than lackluster and have not won in 3 dates at home.  The value in the betting market here is squarely on the away win. Tottenham v Southampton – Spurs are...